SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
41.07% ( -0.27) | 25.97% ( 0.02) | 32.97% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.47% ( -0.03) | 50.52% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.55% ( -0.03) | 72.45% ( 0.03) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% ( -0.15) | 24.32% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.29% ( -0.21) | 58.71% ( 0.21) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( 0.15) | 28.96% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% ( 0.18) | 64.85% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 41.07% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.97% |
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