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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
NF

Grimsby Town
0 - 3
Nott'm Forest

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Yates (18'), Surridge (35', 77')
Surridge (70')

We said: Grimsby Town 0-3 Nottingham Forest

With so many new signings likely to be provided with a chance by Cooper at Grimsby, there is a chance the visitors could be a little disjointed. However, some of the players expected to start have the potential to hugely improve Forest, who could enjoy themselves in Lincolnshire on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Nottingham Forest in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nottingham Forest.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawNottingham Forest
31.04% (0.0040000000000013 0) 25.68% (0.004999999999999 0) 43.28% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.98% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.08% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)49.92% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)29.94% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.95% (-0.012 -0.01)66.05% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (-0.012 -0.01)22.96% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.26% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)56.74% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 31.04%
    Nottingham Forest 43.28%
    Draw 25.67%
Grimsby TownDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.36%
2-0 @ 5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 31.04%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 10.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 43.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-0 Sutton
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 4-0 Crewe
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Solihull 2-1 Grimsby Town
Sunday, June 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Everton 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 West Ham
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, July 30 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Notts County
Tuesday, July 26 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, July 23 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1


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