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Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
B
Barrow

Bolton
3 - 2
Barrow

Afolayan (23'), Dadi Bodvarsson (38'), Kachunga (69')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kay (42'), Canavan (56')
Neal (18'), Ray (73'), Kay (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barrow 3-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Barrow

There is very little separating the teams ahead of this one, and the contest could easily swing either way. However, we just about fancy the hosts to rise to the occasion and carry the day in front of an expectant home support come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarrow
52.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.34% (0.0010000000000012 0) 23.15% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)49.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.31% (-0.004999999999999 -0)71.68% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)50.35% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)36.05% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.83% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 52.51%
    Barrow 23.15%
    Draw 24.33%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 11.34%
2-1 @ 9.65%
2-0 @ 9.46%
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.26%
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 52.51%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.91%
0-2 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 23.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, November 5 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bolton 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-3 Bolton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barrow 3-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barrow 3-1 Colchester
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 3-0 Crewe
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two


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