Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barrow |
52.51% ( -0) | 24.34% ( 0) | 23.15% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 51.87% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.33% ( -0) | 49.66% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.31% ( -0) | 71.68% ( 0) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.12% ( -0) | 18.87% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.65% ( -0.01) | 50.35% ( 0) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.94% ( -0) | 36.05% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.17% ( -0) | 72.83% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barrow |
1-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 9.46% 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.26% 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.51% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.91% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.87% Total : 23.15% |
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