SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Carlisle United |
40.1% ( 0.12) | 28.41% ( -0.04) | 31.49% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.92% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.74% ( 0.12) | 60.26% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.56% ( 0.09) | 80.44% ( -0.09) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.61% ( 0.12) | 29.39% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.62% ( 0.15) | 65.38% ( -0.15) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.03% ( 0.01) | 34.97% ( -0) |
