Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.
0.06) 
-0.02) 
