Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
28.32% ( -0.47) | 23.43% ( 0.09) | 48.25% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 59.93% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.64% ( -0.73) | 41.36% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.24% ( -0.74) | 63.76% ( 0.75) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.52% ( -0.69) | 27.48% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.02% ( -0.9) | 62.98% ( 0.91) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.65% ( -0.13) | 17.35% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.25% ( -0.24) | 47.75% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.32% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 5.52% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.94% Total : 48.25% |
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