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League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
P

Forest Green
0 - 1
Portsmouth


Hendry (21'), Little (74'), Cargill (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raggett (17')
Tunnicliffe (14'), Scarlett (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-2 Portsmouth

Although they have lost their last two away games, we think that Portsmouth will get their promotion bid back on track when they face a Forest Green side who are currently in the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawPortsmouth
33.87% (0.0019999999999953 0) 25.39%40.73%
Both teams to score 55.92% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.83% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (0.0020000000000095 0)27.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (0.0020000000000024 0)62.46%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (0.00099999999999056 0)23.3% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76%57.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 33.87%
    Portsmouth 40.73%
    Draw 25.39%
Forest Green RoversDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.49%
3-0 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.87%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.31%
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-2 @ 6.7%
1-3 @ 4.25%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 40.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Forest Green 4-1 Exeter
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Forest Green
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 4-1 Forest Green
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-2 Forest Green
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-4 Exeter
Saturday, September 24 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 3-0 Portsmouth
Monday, October 17 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 5-0 Aston Villa U21s
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Plymouth
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One


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