Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
