Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
31.2% ( -0.07) | 25.95% ( -0.03) | 42.85% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 53.17% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49% ( 0.11) | 50.99% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.14% ( 0.1) | 72.86% ( -0.1) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.62% ( 0.01) | 30.37% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.43% ( 0.01) | 66.56% ( -0.01) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% ( 0.1) | 23.64% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.26% ( 0.14) | 57.73% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 31.2% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.84% |
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