Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.11) 
