Preston will be the favourites heading into this match, given they compete two divisions above their hosts, but with the team still adjusting under their new boss, we expect a fairly tight game with the visitors ultimately securing the win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
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