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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
HT

Lincoln
1 - 2
Harrogate

Makama (85' pen.)
Moylan (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Folarin (49'), Daly (61')
Sutton (56')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Lincoln City and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-3 Lincoln
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Bromley
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawHarrogate Town
46.53% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 25.7% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 27.77% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.01% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41% (-0.07 -0.07)51.59% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)73.38% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)22.16% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.45% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)55.55% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)33.18% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)69.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 46.53%
    Harrogate Town 27.77%
    Draw 25.69%
Lincoln CityDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 46.53%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.35% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 27.77%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-3 Lincoln
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Harrogate 0-4 Lincoln
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Oldham 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Preston 0-1 Lincoln
Friday, July 12 at 10am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Bromley
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Darlington 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Harrogate 0-0 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Harrogate 0-4 Lincoln
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Harrogate 1-4 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, July 23 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Harrogate 0-3 Leeds
Friday, July 19 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


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