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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Harrogate Town |
35.4% ( -0.98) | 25.7% ( 0.09) | 38.89% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 55.18% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.08% ( -0.51) | 48.92% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.99% ( -0.46) | 71.01% ( 0.45) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( -0.8) | 26.68% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% ( -1.07) | 61.93% ( 1.06) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( 0.24) | 24.73% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.71% ( 0.34) | 59.28% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.16% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.89% |
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