Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 10%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.