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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Etihad Stadium
WW

Man City
6 - 1
Wycombe

De Bruyne (29'), Mahrez (43', 83'), Foden (45+1'), Torres (71'), Palmer (88')
Lavia (40')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Hanlan (22')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 10%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawWycombe Wanderers
74.65%15.35%10%
Both teams to score 52.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.19%33.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.34%55.66%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.34%7.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.66%27.34%
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.8%43.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.54%79.46%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 74.65%
    Wycombe Wanderers 10%
    Draw 15.35%
Manchester CityDrawWycombe Wanderers
2-0 @ 10.92%
3-0 @ 9.36%
2-1 @ 9.17%
1-0 @ 8.5%
3-1 @ 7.85%
4-0 @ 6.01%
4-1 @ 5.05%
3-2 @ 3.3%
5-0 @ 3.09%
5-1 @ 2.59%
4-2 @ 2.12%
6-0 @ 1.32%
6-1 @ 1.11%
5-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 74.65%
1-1 @ 7.14%
2-2 @ 3.85%
0-0 @ 3.31%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 15.35%
1-2 @ 3%
0-1 @ 2.78%
0-2 @ 1.17%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 10%

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