MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 23:58:51
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.55%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 12.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Manchester CityDrawSouthampton
70.55%16.95%12.5%
Both teams to score 55.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.58%34.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.66%56.34%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.32%8.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.09%29.91%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7%39.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.99%76.01%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 70.54%
    Southampton 12.5%
    Draw 16.95%
Manchester CityDrawSouthampton
2-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 9.52%
1-0 @ 8.34%
3-0 @ 8.3%
3-1 @ 7.75%
4-0 @ 5.07%
4-1 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 3.62%
5-0 @ 2.48%
5-1 @ 2.32%
4-2 @ 2.21%
5-2 @ 1.08%
6-0 @ 1.01%
6-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 70.54%
1-1 @ 7.79%
2-2 @ 4.45%
0-0 @ 3.41%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.95%
1-2 @ 3.64%
0-1 @ 3.19%
0-2 @ 1.49%
2-3 @ 1.38%
1-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 12.5%

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