Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.55%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
