Premier League | Gameweek 3

Aug 28, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
5 - 0
Arsenal

Gundogan (7'), Torres (12', 84'), Jesus (43'), Rodri (53')
Rodri (67')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Soares (24'), Kolasinac (28')
Xhaka (35')

Pep Guardiola backs Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta to come good

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang insists Arsenal must pull together as a team

Aubameyang: 'It will be difficult to lift Arsenal after Man City loss'

Pep Guardiola tips Mikel Arteta to turn things around at Arsenal

Mikel Arteta says it is time to 'look in the mirror' after Arsenal's 5-0 rout

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 54.56%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Arsenal
54.56%	22.2%	23.23%

Both teams to score 59.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.77%

40.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.4%

62.59%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.28%

14.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.08%

42.91%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.23%

30.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.97%

67.03%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 54.56%

Arsenal 23.23%

Draw 22.2%

Manchester City	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 8.31% 3-1 @ 6.26% 3-0 @ 5.31% 3-2 @ 3.69% 4-1 @ 3% 4-0 @ 2.54% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.15% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.08% Total : 54.56%	1-1 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 5.78% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.2%	1-2 @ 6.03% 0-1 @ 5.34% 0-2 @ 3.15% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.85% Total : 23.23%