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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
MD

Watford
0 - 2
MK Dons

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dennis (45'), Burns (53')
O'Hora (45+5'), Devoy (76'), Oyegoke (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Watford 2-0 MK Dons

While they have not been all that successful against the top sides in England over the past few seasons, Watford have a lot more experience playing high-calibre teams. We believe the Dons will have difficulty penetrating a Hornets side who have shown tremendous poise and continuity on the defensive side this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawMK Dons
47.51% (0.0039999999999978 0) 24.64%27.85% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.12% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.36% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (0.0010000000000048 0)52.03%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)30.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)67.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Watford 47.51%
    MK Dons 27.85%
    Draw 24.64%
WatfordDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.51%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 7.22%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 27.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Preston 0-0 Watford
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Burnley
Friday, August 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Watford
Monday, August 8 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Sheff Utd
Monday, August 1 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Southampton
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Accrington
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One


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