While they have not been all that successful against the top sides in England over the past few seasons, Watford have a lot more experience playing high-calibre teams.
We believe the Dons will have difficulty penetrating a Hornets side who have shown tremendous poise and continuity on the defensive side this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.