Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Accrington Stanley
42.39% ( 0.01)	25.33% ( 0)	32.27% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.63% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52% (

-0.01)

48% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.83% (

-0.01)

70.17% (

0.01)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44%

22.56% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.85%

56.15% (

-0)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83% (

-0.02)

28.17% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.15% (

-0.02)

63.85% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Newport County 42.39%

Accrington Stanley 32.27%

Draw 25.33%

Newport County	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.23% Total : 42.39%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 8.05% 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.27%