SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 2-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Stockport County |
17.97% ( 0.91) | 20.73% ( 0.34) | 61.3% ( -1.25) |
| Both teams to score 55.62% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.23% ( 0.04) | 40.77% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.84% ( 0.04) | 63.15% ( -0.04) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.81% ( 1.06) | 36.19% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.02% ( 1.06) | 72.97% ( -1.07) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.17% ( -0.35) | 12.83% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.83% ( -0.72) | 39.17% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.54% Total : 17.97% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.73% | 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.79% ( -0.27)0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 6.7% ( -0.28)1-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 3.44% ( -0.19)2-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.5% Total : 61.3% |
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