Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.25) 
