Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.