Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
0.93) 
-0.22) 
