SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Bradford City | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Carlisle United | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s | 4 | -3 | 2 |
| 12 | Manchester United Under-21s | 4 | -6 | 2 |
| 13 | West Ham United Under-21s | 4 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
59.18% ( 0.22) | 21.22% ( 0.2) | 19.6% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 56.95% ( -1.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.54% ( -1.54) | 40.46% ( 1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.16% ( -1.61) | 62.84% ( 1.61) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.64% ( -0.43) | 13.35% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.76% ( -0.87) | 40.24% ( 0.88) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.73% ( -1.31) | 34.27% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.03% ( -1.43) | 70.97% ( 1.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.36)1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 59.18% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.22% | 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.07% Total : 19.6% |
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