SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Fulham Under-21s had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 1-0 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Fulham Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Fulham Under-21s |
61.81% ( 0.03) | 19.7% ( -0.01) | 18.49% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.44% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.03% ( -0.01) | 34.97% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.04% ( -0.01) | 56.96% ( 0.01) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.07% ( 0) | 10.92% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.89% ( 0.01) | 35.11% ( -0.01) |
| Fulham Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( -0.03) | 32.15% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.37% ( -0.03) | 68.63% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Fulham Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.21% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0)5-2 @ 1% Other @ 3.9% Total : 61.81% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.7% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.99% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 18.49% |
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