Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.27) 
