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League One | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
FT

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Fleetwood


Oshilaja (19')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Macadam (34')
Warrington (21'), Vela (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 2-2 Fleetwood Town

With Burton Albion recently finding a hunger for goals, they will more than likely find the scoresheet in this game. Tight games have been the order of the day for Fleetwood and there is not enough evidence to suggest that will change, which is why a draw is a likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawFleetwood Town
35.19% (3.211 3.21) 25.93% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 38.88% (-3.109 -3.11)
Both teams to score 54.35% (1.137 1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (1.101 1.1)49.98% (-1.097 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (0.974 0.97)71.96% (-0.968 -0.97)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (2.575 2.58)27.32% (-2.57 -2.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.24% (3.222 3.22)62.77% (-3.216 -3.22)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (-1.119 -1.12)25.22% (1.124 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (-1.569 -1.57)59.97% (1.574 1.57)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 35.19%
    Fleetwood Town 38.88%
    Draw 25.93%
Burton AlbionDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.243 0.24)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.516 0.52)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.549 0.55)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.447 0.45)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.395 0.4)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.239 0.24)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.212 0.21)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 35.19%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.313 -0.31)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.185 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.749 -0.75)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.325 -0.33)
0-2 @ 6.54% (-0.756 -0.76)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.283 -0.28)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.458 -0.46)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-2 Forest Green
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-3 Burton Albion
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Barnsley
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Wycombe
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Barrow (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


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