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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
BA

Sheff Weds
2 - 3
Burton Albion

Wilks (32'), Paterson (34')
Bakinson (24')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Winnall (8'), Smith (17'), Keillor-Dunn (51' pen.)
Hamer (30'), Butcher (64'), Adeboyejo (90+3')

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 Burton Albion

Given Sheff Wed's superior form and resources, we can only envisage the hosts winning at Hillsborough on Tuesday. Moore has far more quality options to call upon in a competition which generally features significant rotation, while the visitors are likely to have the weekend in mind given that they are bottom of League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 11.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawBurton Albion
71.96% (-0.803 -0.8) 16.69% (0.31 0.31) 11.35% (0.492 0.49)
Both teams to score 52.42% (0.639 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.65% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)36.35% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.52% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)58.48% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.14% (-0.196 -0.2)8.86% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.67% (-0.47799999999999 -0.48)30.33% (0.477 0.48)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.51% (0.822 0.82)42.48% (-0.823 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.15% (0.697 0.7)78.85% (-0.69800000000001 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 71.95%
    Burton Albion 11.35%
    Draw 16.69%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 11.05% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.071 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.93% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-1 @ 7.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.41% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-1 @ 4.63% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.068 0.07)
5-0 @ 2.62% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-1 @ 2.25% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.023 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.06% (-0.057 -0.06)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
6-1 @ 0.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 71.95%
1-1 @ 7.81% (0.129 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.76% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.69%
1-2 @ 3.34% (0.129 0.13)
0-1 @ 3.22% (0.082 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.38% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 11.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-2 Ipswich
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Barnsley
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bradford 3-1 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sheff Weds 5-0 Forest Green
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 4-2 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cambridge 4-3 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Port Vale
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One


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