Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
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