The two sides head into Saturday's contest off the back of contrasting results from their last two matches, with Burton seeking to claim a third successive win in all competitions.
However, we expect a response from Shrewsbury in front of their own fans and they should do enough to claim at least a draw at New Meadow.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
0.17) 
-0.21) 
