Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.44) 
