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League One | Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2021 at 3pm UK
Kassam Stadium
LC

Oxford Utd
3 - 1
Lincoln

Henry (12', 24', 73' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Scully (87' pen.)
Bridcutt (64')
Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Lincoln City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawLincoln City
48.17%27.04%24.8%
Both teams to score 45.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.53%58.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.95%79.06%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.65%24.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.25%58.76%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.57%39.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.87%76.13%
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 48.16%
    Lincoln City 24.8%
    Draw 27.03%
Oxford UnitedDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 13.56%
2-0 @ 9.58%
2-1 @ 8.91%
3-0 @ 4.51%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-1 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 48.16%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 9.61%
2-2 @ 4.15%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 8.94%
1-2 @ 5.87%
0-2 @ 4.16%
1-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 24.8%

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