Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Gillingham
43.65% ( -0.05)	28.87% ( 0.02)	27.49% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 42.99% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.95% (

-0.03)

63.06% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.49% (

-0.03)

82.51% (

0.03)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23% (

-0.04)

28.77% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39% (

-0.06)

64.62% (

0.06)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.35% (

0.02)

39.65% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.67% (

0.02)

76.33% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 43.65%

Gillingham 27.48%

Draw 28.85%

Carlisle United	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 14.21% 2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 1.54% Total : 43.65%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.85%	0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.42% Total : 27.48%