Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
0.9) 
-0.48) 
