Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.65%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.