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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
33.53% ( 0.07) | 23.61% ( -0) | 42.85% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.17% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.35% ( 0.04) | 39.65% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38% ( 0.04) | 62.01% ( -0.03) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( 0.06) | 23.4% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.62% ( 0.08) | 57.38% ( -0.07) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( -0.01) | 18.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.7% ( -0.02) | 50.3% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.41% 2-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.53% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 42.85% |
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