Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
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