Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
0.17) 
-0.02) 
