Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
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