SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.39%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 22.06% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
56.39% ( 0.92) | 21.54% ( -0.15) | 22.06% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 59.77% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( -0.27) | 38.54% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.16% ( -0.29) | 60.84% ( 0.29) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.43% ( 0.19) | 13.57% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.32% ( 0.38) | 40.67% ( -0.38) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( -0.82) | 30.84% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.88% ( -0.98) | 67.12% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.55% Total : 56.39% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.54% | 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.79% Total : 22.06% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
