Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
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