A very evenly-matched tie between two early high-flyers, it is difficult to predict a clear favourite in this one.
Given the home advantage, however, and the fact that Northampton have conceded in their last four, we can see the home side just coming out on top.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
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