Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.04) 
