Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
-2.75) 
0.69) 
