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League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
BL

Port Vale
0 - 0
Bolton


Forrester (45+2'), C (86')
FT

Santos (10'), Williams (49')
Santos (37')
Coverage of the League One clash between Port Vale and Bolton Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawBolton Wanderers
43.67% (-4.295 -4.3) 26.73% (0.421 0.42) 29.6% (3.871 3.87)
Both teams to score 49.98% (1.38 1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.25% (0.509 0.51)54.75% (-0.509 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (0.419 0.42)76.06% (-0.42100000000001 -0.42)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.11% (-1.833 -1.83)24.89% (1.832 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49% (-2.619 -2.62)59.51% (2.617 2.62)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (3.378 3.38)33.45% (-3.38 -3.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (3.534 3.53)70.08% (-3.535 -3.54)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 43.67%
    Bolton Wanderers 29.6%
    Draw 26.73%
Port ValeDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.88 -0.88)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-1.089 -1.09)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.377 -0.38)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.738 -0.74)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.216 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.342 -0.34)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 43.67%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.268 0.27)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.12% (0.636 0.64)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.727 0.73)
0-2 @ 4.99% (0.756 0.76)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.465 0.47)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.411 0.41)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.244 0.24)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.6%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Rotherham
Wednesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Exeter 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Port Vale
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in League Two
Last Game: Bolton 5-1 Salford City
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Wycombe
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 1-1 Bolton
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Watford 0-2 Bolton
Tuesday, July 12 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bolton 4-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One


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