Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
43.67% ( -4.3)	26.73% ( 0.42)	29.6% ( 3.87)

Both teams to score 49.98% (

1.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.25% (

0.51)

54.75% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.93% (

0.42)

76.06% (

-0.42)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.11% (

-1.83)

24.89% (

1.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.49% (

-2.62)

59.51% (

2.62)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.55% (

3.38)

33.45% (

-3.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.91% (

3.53)

70.08% (

-3.54)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 43.67%

Bolton Wanderers 29.6%

Draw 26.73%

Port Vale	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.88) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -1.09) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.38) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.74) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.34) Other @ 2.44% Total : 43.67%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.27) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.64) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.73) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.76) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.47) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.41) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.6%