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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7pm UK
Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
1 - 0
Liverpool U21s

Campbell (82')
Graham (45+1'), Odoh (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Olufunwa (24'), Blair (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 1-0 Liverpool U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Next Game: Colchester vs. Rochdale
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-0 Liverpool U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Next Game: Liverpool U21s vs. Arsenal U21s
Saturday, October 1 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Rochdale 2-1 Liverpool Under-21s

Liverpool U21s have struggled in this competition in recent years, and we think their losing streak could continue on Tuesday. Rochdale are not in good form whatsoever, which is only likely to increase their motivation to avoid an embarrassing defeat against an academy outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawLiverpool Under-21s
52.73% (-8.864 -8.86) 22.74% (2.575 2.58) 24.52% (6.292 6.29)
Both teams to score 58.74% (0.571 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.66% (-3.657 -3.66)41.33% (3.659 3.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.26% (-3.815 -3.82)63.73% (3.817 3.82)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.28% (-3.923 -3.92)15.72% (3.925 3.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.19% (-7.797 -7.8)44.8% (7.8 7.8)
Liverpool Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (3.748 3.75)30.3% (-3.746 -3.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (4.249 4.25)66.48% (-4.247 -4.25)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 52.73%
    Liverpool Under-21s 24.52%
    Draw 22.74%
RochdaleDrawLiverpool Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-1.02 -1.02)
3-1 @ 6% (-1.039 -1.04)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-1.508 -1.51)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.21 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.986 -0.99)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-1.168 -1.17)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.37 -0.37)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.581 -0.58)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 52.73%
1-1 @ 10.52% (1.273 1.27)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.487 0.49)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.748 0.75)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 6.28% (1.3 1.3)
0-1 @ 5.69% (1.361 1.36)
0-2 @ 3.4% (1.065 1.07)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.711 0.71)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.401 0.4)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.514 0.51)
Other @ 3%
Total : 24.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Northampton 3-0 Rochdale
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 3-3 Rochdale
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 3-3 Rochdale (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Rochdale 1-1 Crawley
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leicester U21s 0-1 Liverpool U21s
Saturday, September 17 at 5pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Liverpool U21s 2-2 Man Utd U21s
Saturday, September 3 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Liverpool U21s
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Spurs U21s 3-3 Liverpool U21s
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Liverpool U21s 1-0 Blackburn U21s
Saturday, August 20 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Brighton U21s 1-1 Liverpool U21s
Sunday, August 14 at 3pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1


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