SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
52.73% ( -8.86) | 22.74% ( 2.58) | 24.52% ( 6.29) |
| Both teams to score 58.74% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.66% ( -3.66) | 41.33% ( 3.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.26% ( -3.82) | 63.73% ( 3.82) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.28% ( -3.92) | 15.72% ( 3.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.19% ( -7.8) | 44.8% ( 7.8) |
| Liverpool Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.69% ( 3.75) | 30.3% ( -3.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.51% ( 4.25) | 66.48% ( -4.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 8.15% ( -1.02)3-1 @ 6% ( -1.04)3-0 @ 5.03% ( -1.51)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.99)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -1.17)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.37)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.58)Other @ 3.62% Total : 52.73% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 1.27) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.49)0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.75)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 1.3) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 1.36)0-2 @ 3.4% ( 1.07)1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.71)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.4)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.51)Other @ 3% Total : 24.52% |
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