Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%).