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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
R

Accrington
3 - 3
Rochdale

Accrington win 4-3 on penalties
McConville (51'), Lowe (55'), Sinclair (90+5' og.)
Woods (62'), Coyle (79'), Pritchard (87')
FT
(aet)
Ball (65'), Henderson (67'), Brierley (72')
Graham (35')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Accrington Stanley and Rochdale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%).

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawRochdale
44.22% (-1.673 -1.67) 25.22% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 30.56% (1.624 1.62)
Both teams to score 55.24% (0.767 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (0.576 0.58)48.17% (-0.572 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67% (0.528 0.53)70.33% (-0.52200000000001 -0.52)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22% (-0.51299999999999 -0.51)21.78% (0.518 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.03% (-0.791 -0.79)54.97% (0.796 0.8)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61% (1.438 1.44)29.39% (-1.432 -1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (1.725 1.73)65.38% (-1.719 -1.72)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 44.22%
    Rochdale 30.56%
    Draw 25.22%
Accrington StanleyDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.386 -0.39)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.419 -0.42)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.276 -0.28)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 44.22%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 7.84% (0.125 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.288 0.29)
0-2 @ 4.8% (0.261 0.26)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.229 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.142 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.178 0.18)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.56%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Exeter
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Accrington
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 4-4 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Tranmere (11-12 pen.)
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Accrington
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Charlton
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rochdale 1-1 Crawley
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Swindon 3-0 Rochdale
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 2-0 Burton Albion
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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