Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
0.4) 
-0.18) 
