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League Two | Gameweek 6
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
CT

Rochdale
1 - 1
Crawley

Sinclair (60')
Rodney (32'), Henderson (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Powell (45+2')
Johnson (11'), Ransom (36'), Tsaroulla (53')
Tsaroulla (86')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Rochdale and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawCrawley Town
40.71% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 26.53% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 32.76% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.89% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.1% (0.017000000000003 0.02)52.89% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.49% (0.015999999999998 0.02)74.5% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.58% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54% (0.024999999999999 0.02)60.45% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)30.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)66.44% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 40.7%
    Crawley Town 32.76%
    Draw 26.52%
RochdaleDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.55%
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 32.76%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Swindon 3-0 Rochdale
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 2-0 Burton Albion
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Fulham
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-3 Northampton
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-0 Crawley
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two


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