Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.