Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.