Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
-0.22) 
0.07) 
