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League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
DR

Rochdale
1 - 2
Doncaster

Quigley (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Agard (39'), Miller (69')
Williams (89')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Rochdale and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Rochdale
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawDoncaster Rovers
45.63% (-0.221 -0.22) 27.06% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 27.31% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 47.68% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95% (-0.171 -0.17)57.05% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (-0.136 -0.14)77.94% (0.14 0.14)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (-0.181 -0.18)24.95% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.41% (-0.255 -0.26)59.59% (0.258 0.26)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52% (0.030999999999999 0.03)36.48% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.74% (0.032 0.03)73.26% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 45.62%
    Doncaster Rovers 27.31%
    Draw 27.06%
RochdaleDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 12.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 45.62%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.16% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 27.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Rochdale
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-0 Liverpool U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 3-0 Rochdale
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 3-3 Rochdale
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 3-3 Rochdale (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Doncaster 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Swindon
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-0 Newcastle U21s (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


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